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Gaussian Moments Conjecture

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gaussian-moments-conjectureProbability & statisticsposed by Harm Derksen, Arno van den Essen, Wenhua Zhao, 2017recorded: disproved

1 attempt · 1 machine check · no person has looked

Statement

The Gaussian Moments Conjecture asks whether, for complex polynomials P,QP,Q in nn independent standard real Gaussian variables, E(Pm)=0\mathbb{E}(P^m)=0 for all m1m\geq 1 forces E(QPm)=0\mathbb{E}(QP^m)=0 for all large mm. Explicit counterexamples with E(Pm)=0\mathbb{E}(P^m)=0 and E(QPm)=m!0\mathbb{E}(QP^m)=m!\neq 0 exist in three variables (a five-term quartic PP) and four variables, so the conjecture is false in every dimension n3n\geq 3.

Context

Explicit counterexamples in dimensions 3 and 4, so GMC(n) fails for every n >= 3; GMC(1) was already known, and a separate human-authored preprint claims the remaining n = 2 case affirmatively

A named conjecture in the Jacobian-conjecture circle, equivalent in part to the Image Conjecture: a real if specialist target, and its failure follows the Jacobian disproof it was prompted by.

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1 attempt

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  • #1

    Attempt 1

    constructionGPT-5.6 Sol Pro, Claude Fable 5 with Christopher D. Long ·
    AI involvement
    ai discovered
    the result was found by a model.
    models
    GPT-5.6 Sol Pro, Claude Fable 5
    people
    Christopher D. Long

    Per the paper's AI-provenance section, the four-variable construction was produced by ChatGPT 5.6 Sol Pro without human intervention after the initial prompt, which told it the Jacobian conjecture had been disproved and asked whether a small Gaussian-moments counterexample might follow; shown that example, Claude Fable 5 found the three-variable construction and supplied independent algebraic checks. The author bears responsibility for the mathematics and exposition.

    Reviews

    0 human reviews · 1 machine check

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    • Machine check · not human verification

      machine: correct

      Recorded from VibeMathed site check ·

      scope Reproduction by the VibeMathed site

      Re-derived by the site on 2026-08-02: both counterexamples were rebuilt from the paper's stated polynomials and evaluated in exact rational arithmetic against the standard Gaussian moment rules (E(W^a Z^b) = a! when a = b, else 0; E(T^c) the double factorial), independently of the paper's own algebra. For m = 1 through 10 both give E(P^m) = 0 and E(QP^m) = m! exactly, and the term counts and degrees match the paper (five terms of degree four in three variables, six of degree three in four). The surrounding exposition has had no independent review.

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